By T. V. Paul
As the prices of a preemptive overseas coverage in Iraq became transparent, ideas comparable to containment and deterrence were gaining foreign money between coverage makers. This complete booklet bargains an time table for the modern perform of deterrence—especially because it applies to nuclear weapons—in an more and more heterogeneous worldwide and political setting.
Moving past the precepts of conventional deterrence idea, this groundbreaking quantity bargains insights for using deterrence within the smooth global, the place coverage makers may possibly stumble upon irrational actors, failed states, non secular zeal, ambiguous energy relationships, and different occasions the place the normal principles of statecraft don't practice. A exceptional team of individuals the following examines matters corresponding to deterrence one of the nice Powers; the issues of local and nonstate actors; and actors armed with chemical, organic, and nuclear guns. Complex Deterrence will be a worthwhile source for someone dealing with the huge problem of fostering safety and peace within the twenty-first century.
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Extra resources for Complex Deterrence: Strategy in the Global Age
13 There are other ways of trying to prevent something (such as moral suasion or pure defense), and there are other ends that can be sought besides prevention (such as compelling an action or eliciting cooperation), so this formulation still bounds the concept of deterrence without tying it speciﬁcally to the cold war understanding of the term. One also can utilize different means in seeking deterrence. Strategic deterrence has historically involved military means, but there is no logical reason why economic or informational or law enforcement measures cannot be used to achieve deterrent effects.
When support grows for either more soft-line or hard-line policy alternatives, those who are skeptical about those alternatives tend to rally behind deterrence. This tendency to evaluate deterrence relative to alternatives shows the continuing relevance of the normative model of rational policy analysis. This chapter closes with some suggestions for how social science research could assist rational policy analysis with respect to deterrence. assessing the role of deterrence in contemporary security policy There are three important reasons to assess the role that deterrence can play against contemporary threats.
An expectation of such a negative result is the key mechanism involved in deterrence. The relevant negative incentives must involve the potential aggressor’s own interests, values, or objectives. Concern about the well-being of the defender is usually not part of the deterrence equation. Hence, if a person says to a friend or loved one, “If you do this, you will hurt my feelings,” it might persuade the other person not to act, but we would not normally describe the friend or loved one as having been deterred.