China's Macroeconomic Outlook: Quarterly Forecast and by Center for Macroeconomic Research o

By Center for Macroeconomic Research o

As the slow exterior industry call for and extra family funding in earlier years have triggered extra creation skill, leading to either commercial progress fee and GDP progress price falling to lowest element for the final 3 years in China. the place may China’s economic system pass? China’s Macroeconomic Outlook, September 2013 offers a few insights into the main points of the industrial improvement in China, and likewise contains sequence of simulations of the effect of lowering govt profit at the financial functionality. The study means that China may still minimize its executive profit proportion in GDP to advertise its structural adjustment.

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Extra info for China's Macroeconomic Outlook: Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, August 2013

Sample text

2. In the case that the worker wage was low, if we could lower the non-tax burden on the enterprises and transfer it to employees to increase their wages, we believe that it would be effective for promoting the economic growth, narrowing the aggregate production gap or output gap, rebalancing the economic structure, expanding the resident consumption, stimulating investment in real economy, and increasing the tax revenue and so on. 3. Through standardizing the government’s operations in exercising government power, the proposed non-tax revenue reduction policy would provide positive effect on China’s economy.

Thus, the research team focuses on the effects on the economic growth and structure adjustment of controlling the growth of government revenue specially on compressing the non-tax revenue and reducing the financial burden on the enterprises, especially the SMEs, and the residents. 1 The Policy Simulation Designs In order to simulate the macroeconomic effects of controlling the government revenue growth and regulating the government’s operations or behaviors for collecting revenue, the research team assumes: 1.

China’s economic development since the global financial crisis (specially from this year) has shown some new characteristics as follows: facing with uncertainties abroad and at home, China’s development potential under current economic system is experiencing a downward pressure and the investment-driven pattern of economic growth is not sustainable. The efficiency of investment drops down, thus the tie between investment and economic growth becomes loose. Apparently, if we don’t further deepen all-round reform in social economic system, develop and improve socialist market economy, release economic development potential and start a new engine for economic development as soon as possible, the decline of economic growth due to economic structural imbalance will continue.

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